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US Gendarmerie vs Sahel

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Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sahel in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
US Gendarmerie
15%
Draws
40%
Sahel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie have won more games recently than Sahel.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on US Gendarmerie taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%
Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Gendarmerie Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Sahel
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super Ligue
Sahel vs US Gendarmerie
0:2
May 4, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Sahel
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Super Ligue
Sahel vs US Gendarmerie
2:2
May 18, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs US Gendarmerie
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Gendarmerie 85 / 100
Sahel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Gendarmerie Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Gendarmerie scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sahel conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

US Gendarmerie has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

US Gendarmerie VS Sahel
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

US Gendarmerie

(Home)
20 Jun
US Gendarmerie
0 : 0
Urana
08 Jun
AS UAM
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
04 Jun
Tagour
1 : 2
US Gendarmerie
30 May
US Gendarmerie
0 : 1
Sahel
22 May
Renaissance
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
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Sahel

(Away)
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
03 Jun
Sahel
1 : 2
Liberte
30 May
US Gendarmerie
0 : 1
Sahel
22 May
Sahel
1 : 0
Urana
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