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US Goree vs ASC HLM

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
US Goree Logo

US Goree

1 - 1
FT
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between US Goree and ASC HLM finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
US Goree
35%
Draws
32%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Goree come out ahead of ASC HLM on wins alone.
  • US Goree are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
US Goree Clean Sheet 68%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Goree ASC HLM
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 14 17
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs US Goree
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs US Goree
1:2
Aug 29, 2011 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Goree 46 / 100
ASC HLM 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Goree ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

US Goree went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

US Goree found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

ASC HLM let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

US Goree VS ASC HLM
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Goree

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
Page 1 of 6

ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)