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US Goree vs Ouakam

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between US Goree and Ouakam finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
US Goree
35%
Draws
37%
Ouakam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Goree come out ahead of Ouakam on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
US Goree Clean Sheet 28%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Goree Ouakam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 15 18
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Ouakam
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Ouakam
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
2:2
May 12, 2024 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs US Goree
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Goree 38 / 100
Ouakam 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Goree Ouakam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: US Goree remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

US Goree scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Ouakam has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

US Goree VS Ouakam
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Goree

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Ouakam

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)