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US Goree vs Sonacos

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
US Goree Logo

US Goree

2 - 1
FT
Sonacos Logo

Sonacos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

US Goree in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Goree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
US Goree
35%
Draws
22%
Sonacos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: US Goree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to US Goree lately — more wins on the board than Sonacos.
  • Win probability leans US Goree's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
US Goree Clean Sheet 68%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Goree Sonacos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 15 13
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Sonacos
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs US Goree
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Sonacos
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs US Goree
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Sonacos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Goree 59 / 100
Sonacos 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Goree Sonacos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Goree Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonacos has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

US Goree has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: US Goree scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

US Goree VS Sonacos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Goree

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
Page 1 of 6

Sonacos

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)