Sport Picks
US Pontedera vs Ascoli
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera 
Match Events
4'
4'
Nicoletti M.
14'
14'
Leo D.
24'
24'
Guiebre A.
AI Match Summary
Ascoli in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ascoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Ascoli have won more games recently than US Pontedera.
- Win probability leans Ascoli's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 11%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Pontedera | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ascoli
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs US Pontedera
5:0
Mar 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ascoli
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs US Pontedera
1:1
Mar 18, 2015 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ascoli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicoletti M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Damiani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Pontedera 14 / 100
Ascoli 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Pontedera Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
US Pontedera's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
US Pontedera went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
US Pontedera VS Ascoli
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
US Pontedera
(Home) 20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 0 Bra
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
