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US Pontedera vs Ghiviborgo Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Scaccabarozzi J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between US Pontedera and Ghiviborgo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Pontedera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
US Pontedera
15%
Draws
21%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Pontedera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Ghiviborgo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ghiviborgo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 19%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Pontedera Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 1 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.78 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
US Pontedera vs Ghiviborgo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Pontedera Compare

Top Goalscorer Scaccabarozzi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ghiviborgo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Pontedera 28 / 100
Ghiviborgo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Pontedera Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghiviborgo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Ghiviborgo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

US Pontedera found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

US Pontedera VS Ghiviborgo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

US Pontedera

(Home)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
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Ghiviborgo

(Away)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
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