Sport Picks

Stadium Background

US Pontedera vs Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Malagrida L.
19' Event
Peralta D.
46'
Sub
Raychev A. In: Lugano T.
Out: Raychev A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between US Pontedera and Livorno finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
US Pontedera
33%
Draws
40%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Livorno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Livorno a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 19%
Livorno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Pontedera Livorno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Livorno
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs US Pontedera
2:2
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
US Pontedera vs Livorno
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Serie C - Group A
US Pontedera vs Livorno
1:1
Nov 29, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Livorno vs US Pontedera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Pontedera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falasco N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Pontedera 28 / 100
Livorno 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Pontedera Livorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Livorno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

US Pontedera's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

US Pontedera VS Livorno
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00