Sport Picks
US Pontedera vs Pro Patria
Italy
Serie D - Group D Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera 
Match Events
11'
11'
Galeiras T.
33'
33'
Pignataro A.
83'
83'
Benedetti A.
AI Match Summary
Pro Patria in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Patria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pro Patria lately — more wins on the board than US Pontedera.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Pro Patria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 10%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Pontedera | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
US Pontedera vs Pro Patria
2:3
Mar 17, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs US Pontedera
0:3
Nov 22, 2020 Serie C - Group A
US Pontedera vs Pro Patria
0:1
Apr 14, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs US Pontedera
0:0
Oct 23, 2019 Serie C - Group A
US Pontedera vs Pro Patria
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Galeiras T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanyang B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedetti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baraye Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Pontedera 10 / 100
Pro Patria 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Pontedera Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Patria let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
US Pontedera scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: US Pontedera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
US Pontedera VS Pro Patria
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
US Pontedera
(Home) 20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 0 Bra
Page 1 of 3
Pro Patria
(Away) 27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Lentigione | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Castellanzese | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Sant'Angelo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Correggese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Varese FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Solbiatese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Pavia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Tropical Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Varesina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Oltrepo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:12 | 2 |
| 17 | Crema | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pontedera | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
