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Stadium Background

US Pontedera vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Sub
Yeboah P. In: Vitali P.
Out: Yeboah P.
67' Event
Da Pozzo L.
71'
Sub
Mbambi J. In: Paolieri L.
Out: Mbambi J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between US Pontedera and Ravenna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
US Pontedera
15%
Draws
69%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravenna come out ahead of US Pontedera on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ravenna a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 11%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Pontedera Ravenna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ravenna
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs US Pontedera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Pontedera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Pozzo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Pontedera 10 / 100
Ravenna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Pontedera Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

US Pontedera found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ravenna conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

US Pontedera has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

US Pontedera VS Ravenna
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

US Pontedera

(Home)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6

Ravenna

(Away)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)