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US Riveraine vs Stade Spiritain

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024 game between US Riveraine and Stade Spiritain finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Riveraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
US Riveraine
22%
Draws
18%
Stade Spiritain
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: US Riveraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Riveraine come out ahead of Stade Spiritain on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on US Riveraine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
US Riveraine Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Spiritain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Riveraine Stade Spiritain
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
US Riveraine vs Stade Spiritain
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Stade Spiritain vs US Riveraine
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Riveraine 57 / 100
Stade Spiritain 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Riveraine Stade Spiritain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Spiritain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: US Riveraine scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Stade Spiritain's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

US Riveraine VS Stade Spiritain
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%