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US Tolentino vs Jesina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Minnozzi M.
19' Event
Padovani E.
80' Event
Villanova M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between US Tolentino and Jesina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Tolentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
US Tolentino
15%
Draws
8%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Tolentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

8% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Tolentino come out ahead of Jesina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jesina a 8% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 20%
Jesina Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tolentino Jesina
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.82 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Jesina
2:1
Sep 22, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs US Tolentino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Minnozzi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padovani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Jesina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 28 / 100
Jesina 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tolentino Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina has conceded goals in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

US Tolentino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Jesina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

US Tolentino VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Tolentino

(Home)
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0
US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0
Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0
US Tolentino
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Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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