Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Tolentino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: US Tolentino at 0.63 per game, Matese at 0.58.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on US Tolentino taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 68%
Matese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Tolentino | Matese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Matese
0:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs US Tolentino
1:3
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs US Tolentino
0:1
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Matese
2:1
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Matese
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Tolentino 50 / 100
Matese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Tolentino Matese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick US Tolentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matese let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
US Tolentino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Matese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Matese
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
US Tolentino
(Home) 29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0 US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0 US Tolentino
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07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Roma City
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
02 Apr
US Tolentino
0 : 1 Nuova Florida
12 Mar
US Tolentino
0 : 1 Calcio Chieti
26 Feb
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Montegiorgio
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Matese
(Away) 05 May
Matese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0 Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2 Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0 Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
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28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0 Matese
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0 Matese
28 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 Matese
17 Mar
Avezzano
2 : 0 Matese
03 Mar
AS Sora
4 : 1 Matese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
