Sport Picks

Stadium Background

US Tolentino vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Massarotti D.
90' Event
De Marzo L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between US Tolentino and Termoli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
US Tolentino
20%
Draws
29%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Tolentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Termoli come out ahead of US Tolentino on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 24%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tolentino Termoli
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 20
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Termoli
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs US Tolentino
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Massarotti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer De Marzo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 33 / 100
Termoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tolentino Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Termoli conceded in 65% of 43 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

US Tolentino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: US Tolentino scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Tolentino

(Home)
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0
US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0
Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0
US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)