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USA U17 vs Cuba U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
USA U17 Logo

USA U17

2 - 0
FT
Cuba U17 Logo

Cuba U17

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Adams C.
Assist: Carrizo M.
31' Event
Carrizo M.
Assist: Johnson J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with USA U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
USA U17
20%
Draws
47%
Cuba U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuba U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Cuba U17 haven't matched USA U17's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on USA U17 taking it.
  • USA U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U17, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and USA U17 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
USA U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Cuba U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 Cuba U17
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 3.35 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 World Cup U17
USA U17 vs Cuba U17
2:0
May 5, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U17
Cuba U17 vs USA U17
2:6
Feb 27, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U17
USA U17 vs Cuba U17
5:0
Feb 14, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U17
Cuba U17 vs USA U17
1:3
Apr 21, 2009 CONCACAF Championship U17
Cuba U17 vs USA U17
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrizo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cuba U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 85 / 100
Cuba U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 Cuba U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Cuba U17 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Solid form: USA U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 VS Cuba U17
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
10 Feb
USA U17
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17
08 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
0 : 10
USA U17
05 Feb
USA U17
8 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
Page 1 of 7

Cuba U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Cuba U17
0 : 0
Belize U17
09 Feb
Cuba U17
2 : 1
El Salvador U17
06 Feb
Curacao U17
0 : 1
Cuba U17
16 Feb
USA U17
2 : 0
Cuba U17
12 Feb
United States Virgin Islands U17
3 : 6
Cuba U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)