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USA U18 vs Peru U17

World World

Friendly International 2024 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ellis J.
51' Event
Guske C.

AI Match Summary

USA U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
USA U18
15%
Draws
0%
Peru U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USA U18 lately — more wins on the board than Peru U17.
  • Win probability leans USA U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
USA U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Peru U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U18 Peru U17
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2024 Friendly International
USA U18 vs Peru U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guske C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Peru U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U18 85 / 100
Peru U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U18 Peru U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U18 scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Peru U17 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Peru U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

USA U18 VS Peru U17
2.38 Goals Scored 0.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U18

(Home)
08 Jun
USA U18
2 : 0
Qatar U20
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
USA U18
1 : 2
Morocco U18
26 Mar
Iceland U19
1 : 2
USA U18
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Peru U17

(Away)
10 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Peru U17
08 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 0
Peru U17
06 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Brazil U17
04 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Argentina U17
02 Apr
Argentina U17
5 : 0
Peru U17
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