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USA U20 vs Guatemala U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Recinos A.
29'
Aguilar C.
39'
Raines B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with USA U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
USA U20
15%
Draws
21%
Guatemala U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U20 come out ahead of Guatemala U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USA U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • USA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USA U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 Guatemala U20
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 29 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.46 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Guatemala U20
3:1
Jul 30, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Guatemala U20
1:0
Jan 9, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Guatemala U20
1:1
Apr 7, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Guatemala U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Guatemala U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 95 / 100
Guatemala U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 Guatemala U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (39 games).

Guatemala U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

USA U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 VS Guatemala U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
01 Aug
USA U20
5 : 0
Cuba U20
29 Jul
El Salvador U20
0 : 3
USA U20
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Guatemala U20

(Away)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
USA U20 1
Guatemala U20 0
Panama U20 2
Canada U20 1
Honduras U20 1
Cuba U20 2
Mexico U20 2
Costa Rica U20 1
Semi-finals
USA U20 2
Panama U20 1
Cuba U20 0
Mexico U20 2
Final
USA U20 1
Mexico U20 2