Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U20 vs Panama U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Vazquez D.
Assist: Tsakiris N.
55'
Sub
Habroune T. In: Berchimas N.
Out: Habroune T.
55'
Sub
Oregel S. In: Raines B.
Out: Oregel S.

AI Match Summary

USA U20 in this CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
USA U20
15%
Draws
31%
Panama U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Panama U20 haven't matched USA U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USA U20 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • USA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USA U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Panama U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 Panama U20
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Panama U20
2:1
Feb 18, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Panama U20
0:1
Jan 11, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Panama U20 vs USA U20
1:0
Apr 2, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Panama U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raines B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Panama U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 95 / 100
Panama U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 Panama U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Panama U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: USA U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 VS Panama U20
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
01 Aug
USA U20
5 : 0
Cuba U20
29 Jul
El Salvador U20
0 : 3
USA U20
Page 1 of 7

Panama U20

(Away)
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
02 Aug
Honduras U20
0 : 4
Panama U20
29 Jul
Jamaica U20
2 : 2
Panama U20
26 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 3
Canada U20
10 Jul
Panama U20
7 : 2
Cuba U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
USA U20 1
Guatemala U20 0
Panama U20 2
Canada U20 1
Honduras U20 1
Cuba U20 2
Mexico U20 2
Costa Rica U20 1
Semi-finals
USA U20 2
Panama U20 1
Cuba U20 0
Mexico U20 2
Final
USA U20 1
Mexico U20 2