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USA U20 W vs Brazil U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USA U20 W play Brazil U20 W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, USA U20 W averaged 2.41 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Brazil U20 W averaged 2.91 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. In past meetings, USA U20 W won 2, Brazil U20 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for USA U20 W and 2.09 for Brazil U20 W. This points to a Brazil U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
USA U20 W
15%
Draws
43%
Brazil U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Brazil U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.09 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil U20 W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Brazil U20 W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 20 27
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.41 2.91
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Friendly International Women
USA U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Friendly International Women
USA U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
2:0
Aug 9, 2014 World Cup Women U20
USA U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
1:0
Sep 3, 2006 World Cup Women U20
Brazil U20 W vs USA U20 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ascanio K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Brazil U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitorinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 40 / 100
Brazil U20 W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Brazil U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

USA U20 W attacking → ← attacking Brazil U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Brazil U20 W let in goals in 35% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

USA U20 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brazil U20 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 84
1.71 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
0.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63