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USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ullmark L.
60' Event
Long M.
65' Event
Restovich G.

AI Match Summary

USA U20 W in this CONCACAF Championship Women U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USA U20 W
6%
Draws
4%
Costa Rica U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USA U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USA U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Costa Rica U20 W.
  • Model gives USA U20 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and USA U20 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 16%
Costa Rica U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Costa Rica U20 W
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 31 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
4:0
Jun 2, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
2:1
Jan 10, 2014 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
6:0
Jan 28, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ullmark L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Long M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Costa Rica U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 84 / 100
Costa Rica U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Costa Rica U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA U20 W scored in 88% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica U20 W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: USA U20 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 W VS Costa Rica U20 W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20 W

(Home)
13 Jul
USA U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
09 Jul
USA U20 W
1 : 1
England U20 W
08 Jun
France U23 W
1 : 2
USA U20 W
05 Jun
USA U20 W
5 : 0
France U23 W
15 Apr
USA U20 W
1 : 1
Brazil U20 W
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Costa Rica U20 W

(Away)
16 Apr
Costa Rica U20 W
1 : 3
Canada U20 W
13 Apr
Costa Rica U20 W
0 : 3
Canada U20 W
06 Jun
Mexico U20 W
4 : 0
Costa Rica U20 W
03 Jun
USA U20 W
4 : 0
Costa Rica U20 W
01 Jun
Guyana U20 W
0 : 9
Costa Rica U20 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U20 W330015:19
2Costa Rica U20 W31119:44
3Puerto Rico U20 W31118:34
4Guyana U20 W30030:240
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U20 W330014:29
2Canada U20 W320113:66
3Panama U20 W31025:123
4Nicaragua U20 W30032:140
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women U20 (Play Offs)