Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U23 vs Costa Rica U23

World World

Olympic Games 2020 Estadio Jalisco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USA U23 play Costa Rica U23 in the Olympic Games 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, USA U23 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Costa Rica U23 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, USA U23 won 1, Costa Rica U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for USA U23 and 1.27 for Costa Rica U23. This points to a USA U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
USA U23
18%
Draws
36%
Costa Rica U23
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: USA U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U23 picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
USA U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Costa Rica U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U23 Costa Rica U23
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2021 Olympic Games
USA U23 vs Costa Rica U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Costa Rica U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U23 45 / 100
Costa Rica U23 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U23 Costa Rica U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: USA U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

USA U23 attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Costa Rica U23 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

USA U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 29
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mexico U2333008:19
2USA U2332015:16
3Costa Rica U2331025:43
4Dominican Republic U2330031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honduras U2331205:25
2Canada U2331203:15
3El Salvador U2331113:44
4Haiti U2330121:51