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Stadium Background

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

World World

World Championship 2026 Levi's Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Balogun F.
51'
Sub
Gigovic A. In: Bajraktarevic E.
Out: Gigovic A.
51'
Sub
Sunjic I. In: Tahirovic B.
Out: Sunjic I.

AI Match Summary

USA in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USA
6%
Draws
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina haven't matched USA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans USA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and USA have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
USA Clean Sheet 15%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 World Championship
USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2:0
Dec 19, 2021 Friendly International
USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:0
Jan 29, 2018 Friendly International
USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:0
Aug 14, 2013 Friendly International
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs USA
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogun F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tillman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 84 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Bosnia & Herzegovina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

USA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany1
Paraguay2
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco2
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
D.R. Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt2
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
1/8-finals
Paraguay0
France1
Canada0
Morocco3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland1
Colombia0
Quarter-finals
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway1
England2
Argentina3
Switzerland1
Semi-finals
France-
Spain-
England-
Argentina-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-