Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

USA

4 - 1

Paraguay

Our Tip

Match Events

Bobadilla D.

Own Goal

10'

Caceres J.

28'

Balogun F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between USA and Paraguay finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

USA

15%

Draws

37%

Paraguay

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and USA come out ahead of Paraguay on wins alone.
Win probability leans USA's way, sitting at 42%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and USA have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

USA Clean Sheet 14%

Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USA	Paraguay
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	17	12
Draws	2	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.84	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 World Championship

USA vs Paraguay

4:1

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International

USA vs Paraguay

2:1

Mar 27, 2018 Friendly International

USA vs Paraguay

1:0

Jun 11, 2016 Copa América

USA vs Paraguay

1:0

Mar 30, 2011 Friendly International

USA vs Paraguay

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogun F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Reyna G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 41 / 100

Paraguay 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USA Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

USA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Paraguay conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Paraguay

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)

07 Jul

USA

1 : 4

Belgium

02 Jul

USA

2 : 0

Bosnia & Herzegovina

26 Jun

Turkey

3 : 2

USA

19 Jun

USA

2 : 0

Australia

13 Jun

USA

4 : 1

Paraguay

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Paraguay

(Away)

04 Jul

Paraguay

0 : 1

France

29 Jun

Germany

1 : 2

Paraguay

26 Jun

Paraguay

0 : 0

Australia

20 Jun

Turkey

0 : 1

Paraguay

13 Jun

USA

4 : 1

Paraguay

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