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USA W vs Canada W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Coffey S.
Assist: Patterson A.
36' Event
Hutton C.
Assist: Lavelle R.
55'
Lawrence A.

AI Match Summary

USA W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
USA W
15%
Draws
49%
Canada W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Canada W haven't matched USA W's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Canada W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and USA W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
USA W Clean Sheet 26%
Canada W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W Canada W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 SheBelieves Cup Women
USA W vs Canada W
1:0
Jul 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Canada W
3:0
Apr 9, 2024 SheBelieves Cup Women
USA W vs Canada W
3:2
Mar 7, 2024 Gold Cup Women
Canada W vs USA W
2:3
Feb 17, 2023 SheBelieves Cup Women
USA W vs Canada W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coffey S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hutton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Canada W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 21 / 100
Canada W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W Canada W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Canada W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

USA W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS Canada W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
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Canada W

(Away)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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