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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Gaziemir Spor Kulubu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu host Gaziemir Spor Kulubu in the 3. Lig Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gaziemir Spor Kulubu have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have conceded 1.39 and scored 1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Gaziemir Spor Kulubu. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
15%
Draws
64%
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Usak Belediyespor Kulubu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 15%
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 / 100
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu has conceded goals in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Gaziemir Spor Kulubu has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu VS Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Home)
11 Oct
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Altay
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
27 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Aksehirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
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Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

(Away)
11 Oct
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
07 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Fethiyespor
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
20 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
5 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Bursa Yildirimspor 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
3 Etimesgut 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
4 Ayvalikgucu 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
5 Balikesirspor 6 4 0 2 17:13 12
6 Eskisehirspor 6 3 2 1 17:7 11
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
8 Bigaspor 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
9 Altay 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Karsiyaka 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
12 Soke 1970 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
15 Aksehirspor 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
16 Kepez Bld. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
18 Alanya 1221 6 0 1 5 1:14 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)