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Usce vs Bacevac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade Stadion Bezanija, Belgrade
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usce host Bacevac in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bacevac have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Usce have conceded 1.54 and scored 1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.38) back Usce to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Usce
20%
Draws
29%
Bacevac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Usce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Usce lately — more wins on the board than Bacevac.
  • Usce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Usce Clean Sheet 17%
Bacevac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usce Bacevac
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.54 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usce 84 / 100
Bacevac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usce Bacevac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bacevac has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Usce found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Usce remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bacevac's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Usce VS Bacevac
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Usce

(Home)
09 Oct
Usce
4 : 1
Buducnost Dobanovci
02 Oct
Usce
2 : 0
BASK
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
Page 1 of 6

Bacevac

(Away)
03 Oct
Bacevac
3 : 3
Nika Lepusnica
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radnicki Obrenovac 8 5 2 1 16:6 17
2 Usce 8 5 1 2 14:9 16
3 Buducnost Dobanovci 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
4 Bezanija 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
5 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Torlak 8 4 2 2 13:10 14
7 Polet Dorcol 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
8 BASK 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Brodarac 8 3 0 5 9:12 9
11 Bacevac 8 2 1 5 11:18 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 8 2 0 6 4:13 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)