Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usce vs FAP

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Bezanija, Belgrade
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Savic A.
45'
Karajlovic A.
46'
Sub
Karajlovic A. In: Radic P.
Out: Karajlovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Usce and FAP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FAP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Usce
20%
Draws
57%
FAP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FAP come out ahead of Usce on wins alone.
  • FAP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Usce Clean Sheet 10%
FAP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usce FAP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Usce vs FAP
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FAP vs Usce
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Usce vs FAP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Usce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FAP Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usce 10 / 100
FAP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usce FAP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FAP conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Usce's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Usce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Usce VS FAP
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Usce

(Home)
29 May
Borac 1926
1 : 1
Usce
22 May
Usce
0 : 1
FAP
17 May
Tekstilac Odzaci
4 : 1
Usce
12 May
Usce
2 : 0
Trayal Krusevac
07 May
Dinamo Jug
2 : 0
Usce
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FAP

(Away)
29 May
FAP
3 : 1
Graficar Beograd
22 May
Usce
0 : 1
FAP
17 May
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 3
FAP
12 May
FAP
1 : 2
Kabel Novi Sad
07 May
Dubocica
1 : 1
FAP
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