Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usce vs Polet Dorcol Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade Stadion Bezanija, Belgrade
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usce in this Srpska Liga - Belgrade matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Usce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Usce
30%
Draws
39%
Polet Dorcol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polet Dorcol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polet Dorcol lately — more wins on the board than Usce.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Usce Clean Sheet 14%
Polet Dorcol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usce Polet Dorcol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Polet Dorcol
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Polet Dorcol
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Polet Dorcol vs Usce
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Polet Dorcol
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Polet Dorcol vs Usce
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usce 35 / 100
Polet Dorcol 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usce Polet Dorcol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polet Dorcol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usce found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Polet Dorcol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Usce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Usce VS Polet Dorcol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Usce

(Home)
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
04 Sept
Usce
2 : 1
Polet Dorcol
02 Sept
Buducnost Krusik
3 : 1
Usce
Page 1 of 6

Polet Dorcol

(Away)
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 1
Buducnost Dobanovci
04 Sept
Usce
2 : 1
Polet Dorcol
29 Aug
Polet Dorcol
0 : 0
Padinska Skela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nika Lepusnica 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 6 3 3 0 11:1 12
3 Bezanija 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Usce 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
6 BASK 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
7 Zvezdara 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
8 Brodarac 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Torlak 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Polet Dorcol 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
11 Padinska Skela 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
12 Bacevac 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
13 Jedinstvo Surcin 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
14 Prva Iskra 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)