Sport Picks
Match Events
84'
84'
Ferrante F.
89'
89'
Siani G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Very High Confidence
- USD Casatese have won more games recently than Brusaporto.
- Model gives USD Casatese a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Casatese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs USD Casatese
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs USD Casatese
1:1
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrante F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Brusaporto Compare
Top Goalscorer Siani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Casatese 95 / 100
Brusaporto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Casatese Brusaporto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: USD Casatese scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Brusaporto has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
USD Casatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
USD Casatese VS Brusaporto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Casatese
(Home) 17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
19 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Pavia
Page 1 of 6
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
19 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Pavia
02 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Castellanzese
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Brusaporto
(Away) 05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1 Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4 AC Milan U23
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05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2 Brusaporto
22 Mar
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
