Sport Picks
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
84'
84'
Ferrante F.
89'
89'
Siani G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- USD Casatese have won more games recently than Brusaporto.
- Model gives USD Casatese a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Casatese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs USD Casatese
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs USD Casatese
1:1
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Brusaporto
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrante F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Brusaporto Compare
Top Goalscorer Siani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Casatese 50 / 100
Brusaporto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Casatese Brusaporto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: USD Casatese scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Brusaporto has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
USD Casatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
USD Casatese VS Brusaporto
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Casatese
(Home) 27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 4
Brusaporto
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
