Sport Picks
USD Casatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
68'
68'
Ferrario C.
90'
90'
Viscardi D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Ciserano-Bergamo.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on USD Casatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Casatese | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs USD Casatese
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:2
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs USD Casatese
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs USD Casatese
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Casatese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrario C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Casatese 59 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Casatese Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USD Casatese scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
USD Casatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
USD Casatese VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Casatese
(Home) 27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
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Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
