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USD Casatese vs Fanfulla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mandelli M.
90' Event
Isella M.
90' Event
Goffi T.

AI Match Summary

USD Casatese in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
USD Casatese
20%
Draws
15%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USD Casatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • USD Casatese have won more games recently than Fanfulla.
  • Model gives USD Casatese a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Casatese Fanfulla
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.71 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Fanfulla
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs USD Casatese
3:3
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
USD Casatese vs Fanfulla
1:0
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs USD Casatese
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Fanfulla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Isella M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goffi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Casatese 86 / 100
Fanfulla 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Casatese Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USD Casatese scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Fanfulla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: USD Casatese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USD Casatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Casatese

(Home)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0
AC Leon
Page 1 of 7

Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)