Sport Picks
USD Casatese vs Franciacorta Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 
Match Events
51'
51'
Romano A.
61'
61'
Bertazzoli A.
77'
77'
Bini F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between USD Casatese and Franciacorta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciacorta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and USD Casatese come out ahead of Franciacorta on wins alone.
- Win probability leans USD Casatese's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Casatese | Franciacorta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Franciacorta
1:2
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs USD Casatese
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs USD Casatese
1:5
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Franciacorta
2:3
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Franciacorta
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Franciacorta Compare
Top Goalscorer Bertazzoli A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Casatese 77 / 100
Franciacorta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Casatese Franciacorta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USD Casatese found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Franciacorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
USD Casatese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USD Casatese VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Casatese
(Home) 27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 4
Franciacorta
(Away) 07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0 Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0 Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Franciacorta
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Franciacorta
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Franciacorta
19 Mar
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 0 Franciacorta
05 Mar
Varesina
3 : 5 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
