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USD Classe 1974 vs Pavia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USD Classe 1974 in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Classe 1974.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
USD Classe 1974
35%
Draws
41%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Pavia have won more games recently than USD Classe 1974.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
USD Classe 1974 Clean Sheet 20%
Pavia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Classe 1974 Pavia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group D
USD Classe 1974 vs Pavia
3:1
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Pavia vs USD Classe 1974
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Classe 1974 32 / 100
Pavia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Classe 1974 Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

USD Classe 1974 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

USD Classe 1974's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pavia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pavia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Classe 1974

(Home)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
Axys Zola
1 : 0
USD Classe 1974
18 Apr
USD Classe 1974
0 : 0
Mezzolara
14 Apr
Lentigione
0 : 0
USD Classe 1974
07 Apr
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
Page 1 of 6

Pavia

(Away)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Pavia
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)