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USD Ragusa vs Akragas

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Crisci C.
73' Event
Ahmetaj M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Solmonte A.

AI Match Summary

USD Ragusa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
USD Ragusa
35%
Draws
16%
Akragas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USD Ragusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USD Ragusa lately — more wins on the board than Akragas.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 23%
Akragas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa Akragas
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 8 2
Draws 15 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Akragas
3:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs USD Ragusa
2:2
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs USD Ragusa
0:2
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Akragas
0:1
Jan 12, 2014 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Akragas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Crisci C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solmonte A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Akragas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 37 / 100
Akragas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa Akragas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akragas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Akragas conceded in 83% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

USD Ragusa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Akragas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
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Akragas

(Away)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)