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USD Ragusa vs AS Acireale Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Memeo A.
74' Event
D'Innocenzo F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between USD Ragusa and AS Acireale finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
USD Ragusa
35%
Draws
32%
AS Acireale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • USD Ragusa haven't matched AS Acireale's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USD Ragusa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 20%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa AS Acireale
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs USD Ragusa
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs AS Acireale
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs USD Ragusa
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs AS Acireale
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs AS Acireale
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Memeo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Innocenzo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

AS Acireale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 36 / 100
AS Acireale 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa AS Acireale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Acireale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: AS Acireale registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

USD Ragusa's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS AS Acireale
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
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AS Acireale

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)