Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USF Constantine vs Metlili Chaamba

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup
Thu, Dec 4, 2025
4 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USF Constantine
25%
Draws
35%
Metlili Chaamba
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: USF Constantine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USF Constantine come out ahead of Metlili Chaamba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USF Constantine's way, sitting at 42%.
  • USF Constantine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USF Constantine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
USF Constantine Clean Sheet 10%
Metlili Chaamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USF Constantine Metlili Chaamba
Matches Played 4 1
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 1
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Algeria Cup
USF Constantine vs Metlili Chaamba
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USF Constantine 40 / 100
Metlili Chaamba 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USF Constantine Metlili Chaamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metlili Chaamba let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

USF Constantine found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Solid form: USF Constantine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USF Constantine VS Metlili Chaamba
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

USF Constantine

(Home)
11 Dec
Paradou
2 : 0
USF Constantine
04 Dec
USF Constantine
4 : 2
Metlili Chaamba
16 Dec
USF Constantine
2 : 5
Mostaganem
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar

Metlili Chaamba

(Away)
04 Dec
USF Constantine
4 : 2
Metlili Chaamba

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1