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USFA vs ASF Dioulasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de l'USFA, Ouagadougou
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USFA host ASF Dioulasso in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. ASF Dioulasso have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while USFA have conceded 0.45 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor USFA slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.69, favoring USFA. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
USFA
15%
Draws
32%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • USFA have won more games recently than ASF Dioulasso.
  • Win probability leans USFA's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
USFA Clean Sheet 20%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFA ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
2:4
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFA 67 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFA ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFA scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

ASF Dioulasso let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: USFA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: ASF Dioulasso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFA VS ASF Dioulasso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USFA

(Home)
31 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 0
USFA
24 Oct
USFA
1 : 0
US Comoe
17 Oct
Majestic
0 : 1
USFA
12 Oct
USFA
1 : 2
ASFA Yennega
04 Oct
Kadiogo
0 : 2
USFA
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
01 Nov
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
25 Oct
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2
Vitesse
17 Oct
US Comoe
2 : 4
ASF Dioulasso
09 Oct
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 1
Majestic
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 USFA 7 5 1 1 9:2 16
3 Vitesse 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
4 FocuSport 7 5 0 2 13:12 15
5 AS Douanes 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
6 Real Du Faso 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 CFFEB 7 3 2 2 10:4 11
8 ASFA Yennega 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Sporting Cascades 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 ASF Dioulasso 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 Majestic 7 2 1 4 4:8 7
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 7 2 0 5 7:7 6
13 Maya 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
14 US Comoe 7 1 1 5 3:9 4
15 Salitas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
16 Kadiogo 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)