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USFA vs ASF Dioulasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade de l'USFA, Ouagadougou
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Match Events

8' Event
Kone V.
65'
Traore H.
65'
Traore H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between USFA and ASF Dioulasso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
USFA
20%
Draws
19%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USFA come out ahead of ASF Dioulasso on wins alone.
  • Model gives USFA a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
USFA Clean Sheet 68%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFA ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
2:4
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFA 95 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFA ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

USFA scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: ASF Dioulasso conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

ASF Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFA VS ASF Dioulasso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USFA

(Home)
04 Oct
Kadiogo
0 : 2
USFA
27 Sept
USFA
3 : 0
Salitas
19 Sept
Maya
0 : 1
USFA
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2
USFA
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)