Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USFA vs Vitesse

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de l'USFA, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sawadogo I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between USFA and Vitesse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
USFA
30%
Draws
33%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse haven't matched USFA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USFA a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
USFA Clean Sheet 68%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFA Vitesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 14 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Premier League
Vitesse vs USFA
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs Vitesse
1:0
May 5, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs Vitesse
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 Premier League
Vitesse vs USFA
2:1
Apr 23, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs Vitesse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawadogo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFA 46 / 100
Vitesse 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFA Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USFA scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitesse conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: USFA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USFA VS Vitesse
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USFA

(Home)
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2
USFA
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
26 Apr
Majestic
1 : 1
USFA
19 Apr
USFA
0 : 1
Rahimo
12 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 2
USFA
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Vitesse

(Away)
10 May
Vitesse
0 : 0
Rahimo
03 May
CFFEB
3 : 2
Vitesse
26 Apr
Vitesse
3 : 1
Salitas
18 Apr
Real Du Faso
1 : 2
Vitesse
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)