Sport Picks

Mali

Premiere Division

USFAS Bamako

0 - 0

Derby Academie

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between USFAS Bamako and Derby Academie finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

USFAS Bamako

28%

Draws

22%

Derby Academie

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Derby Academie haven't matched USFAS Bamako's recent run of results.
USFAS Bamako are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Derby Academie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USFAS Bamako	Derby Academie
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	14	5
Draws	6	14
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Premiere Division

USFAS Bamako vs Derby Academie

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Nov 21, 2025 Premiere Division

Derby Academie vs USFAS Bamako

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 59 / 100

Derby Academie 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USFAS Bamako Derby Academie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Derby Academie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Solid form: USFAS Bamako remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Derby Academie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Derby Academie

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	59
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	50
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	49
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	44
5	Binga	26	12	7	7	28:15	43
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	42
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	33
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	31
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	29
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	27
11	Foot Elite	26	7	6	13	23:38	27
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	26
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	20
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	16