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USFAS Bamako vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

0 - 0
FT
Derby Academie Logo

Derby Academie

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between USFAS Bamako and Derby Academie finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
USFAS Bamako
20%
Draws
29%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby Academie haven't matched USFAS Bamako's recent run of results.
  • USFAS Bamako are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Derby Academie
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.52 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Derby Academie
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs USFAS Bamako
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 59 / 100
Derby Academie 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Derby Academie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFAS Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Derby Academie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Solid form: USFAS Bamako remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Derby Academie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Derby Academie
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Derby Academie

(Away)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)