Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USFAS Bamako vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Coupe du Mali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USFAS Bamako
20%
Draws
40%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Diarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Diarra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Diarra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 21%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Diarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Coupe du Mali
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs USFAS Bamako
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
2:1
May 10, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs USFAS Bamako
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 37 / 100
Diarra 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: USFAS Bamako stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Diarra has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Diarra
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stade Malien 9
AS Sofa 0
USFAS Bamako 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 1
Mali Coura 0
Djoliba 3
Tombouctou 1
Semi-finals
Stade Malien 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 0
Djoliba 1
Final
Diarra 0
Djoliba 2