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USFAS Bamako vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

2 - 1
FT
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between USFAS Bamako and Mali Coura finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USFAS Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
USFAS Bamako
30%
Draws
29%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USFAS Bamako come out ahead of Mali Coura on wins alone.
  • Model gives USFAS Bamako a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 20%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Mali Coura
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.57 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Mali Coura
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs USFAS Bamako
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 42 / 100
Mali Coura 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Mali Coura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali Coura has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

USFAS Bamako scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: USFAS Bamako stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Mali Coura
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

Mali Coura

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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