Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USFAS Bamako vs US Bougouni

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USFAS Bamako in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USFAS Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USFAS Bamako
15%
Draws
26%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • USFAS Bamako have won more games recently than US Bougouni.
  • Win probability leans USFAS Bamako's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako US Bougouni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.57 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs USFAS Bamako
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs US Bougouni
3:0
May 14, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs USFAS Bamako
0:0
Jan 21, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs US Bougouni
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs US Bougouni
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 95 / 100
US Bougouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako US Bougouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFAS Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

US Bougouni has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

USFAS Bamako went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS US Bougouni
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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US Bougouni

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)