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USLPV vs Montlouis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sylla L.
9' Event
Kore D.
19' Event
Mbiagnin S.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group A game between USLPV and Montlouis finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USLPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USLPV
15%
Draws
26%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USLPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montlouis come out ahead of USLPV on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on USLPV taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
USLPV Clean Sheet 17%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USLPV Montlouis
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 2 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
USLPV vs Montlouis
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USLPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbiagnin S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kore D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USLPV 84 / 100
Montlouis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USLPV Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USLPV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USLPV found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Montlouis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

USLPV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USLPV VS Montlouis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USLPV

(Home)
07 Nov
USLPV
1 : 2
Epinal
31 Oct
Chantilly
1 : 1
USLPV
17 Oct
USLPV
4 : 1
Montlouis
03 Oct
Dieppe
1 : 3
USLPV
19 Sept
USLPV
0 : 1
Feignies-Aulnoye
Page 1 of 3

Montlouis

(Away)
07 Nov
Racing Club de France
3 : 0
Montlouis
31 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 2
Chambly
17 Oct
USLPV
4 : 1
Montlouis
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chambly 9 7 0 2 17:9 21
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 9 5 4 0 15:8 19
3 Furiani Agliani 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
4 Creteil 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
5 Racing Club de France 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 9 4 4 1 8:6 16
7 Biesheim 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
8 Borgo 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
9 USLPV 9 2 3 4 15:15 9
10 Epinal 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
11 Colmar 9 2 3 4 7:13 9
12 Dieppe 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 Haguenau 9 2 1 6 7:19 7
14 Montlouis 9 1 3 5 8:18 6
15 Saint-Pryve 8 0 5 3 9:12 5
16 Chantilly 8 0 2 6 6:22 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)