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USM Alger vs AS Maniema

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade du 5 Juillet 1962
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Merili I.
30' Event
Benzaza B.
37'
Bokomboli A.

AI Match Summary

The CAF Confederation Cup game between USM Alger and AS Maniema finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USM Alger
39%
Draws
30%
AS Maniema
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Maniema come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 22%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger AS Maniema
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:1
Mar 18, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:1
Mar 7, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzaza B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AS Maniema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 32 / 100
AS Maniema 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger AS Maniema

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USM Alger scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: USM Alger stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AS Maniema let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS AS Maniema
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema2
USM Alger2
Olympique de Safi3
Wydad Athletic3
Al Masry1
CR Belouizdad1
Otoho d'Oyo2
Zamalek3
Semi-finals
USM Alger1
Olympique de Safi1
CR Belouizdad0
Zamalek1
Final
USM Alger2
Zamalek1