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USM Alger vs AS Maniema Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Merili I.
30' Event
Benzaza B.
37'
Bokomboli A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with USM Alger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USM Alger
35%
Draws
34%
AS Maniema
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Maniema come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Alger a 36% chance of winning this.
  • AS Maniema arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 19%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger AS Maniema
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:1
Mar 18, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:1
Mar 7, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzaza B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AS Maniema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 36 / 100
AS Maniema 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger AS Maniema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: USM Alger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: USM Alger scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

AS Maniema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS AS Maniema
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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AS Maniema

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema 2
USM Alger 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Wydad Athletic 3
Al Masry 1
CR Belouizdad 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Zamalek 3
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Olympique de Safi 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Zamalek 1
Final
USM Alger 2
Zamalek 1