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USM Alger vs ASO Chlef - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Alger host ASO Chlef in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. ASO Chlef have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while USM Alger have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.15. Past meetings favor ASO Chlef slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.56, favoring USM Alger. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
USM Alger
35%
Draws
12%
ASO Chlef
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • ASO Chlef haven't matched USM Alger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans USM Alger's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger ASO Chlef
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.15 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 49 / 100
ASO Chlef 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger ASO Chlef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

USM Alger's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

ASO Chlef let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS ASO Chlef
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
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ASO Chlef

(Away)
30 Oct
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
ES Setif
24 Oct
ASO Chlef
1 : 1
Rouisset
18 Oct
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
ASO Chlef
13 Oct
ASO Chlef
1 : 1
MC Alger
09 Oct
Kabylie
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 7 5 2 0 12:7 17
2 Kabylie 7 5 1 1 11:3 16
3 MC Alger 6 5 1 0 9:1 16
4 Oran 8 4 3 1 5:2 15
5 USM Alger 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
6 Rouisset 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
7 Olympique Akbou 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
8 CR Temouchent 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 ES Setif 7 2 2 3 9:7 8
10 JS El Biar 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
11 ES Ben Aknoun 7 1 5 1 8:8 8
12 Constantine 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
13 Khenchela 7 1 2 4 3:8 5
14 ASO Chlef 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
15 Saoura 7 0 3 4 0:7 3
16 Biskra 8 0 3 5 4:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)