Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Alger vs Constantine

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Benayad R. In: Tendeng A.
Out: Benayad R.
46'
Sub
Benzaza B. In: Ghacha H.
Out: Benzaza B.
48'
Draoui Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
USM Alger
35%
Draws
23%
Constantine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Constantine have won more games recently than USM Alger.
  • Win probability leans USM Alger's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Constantine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger Constantine
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Constantine
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Constantine vs USM Alger
1:1
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Constantine
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Constantine
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Constantine vs USM Alger
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 86 / 100
Constantine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger Constantine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: USM Alger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

USM Alger scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Constantine conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS Constantine
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

Constantine

(Away)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)