Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ben Hammouda M.
19'
Khacef N.
41' Event
Khaldi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between USM Alger and CR Belouizdad finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USM Alger
40%
Draws
29%
CR Belouizdad
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CR Belouizdad come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 16%
CR Belouizdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger CR Belouizdad
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 12 17
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
1:1
Apr 30, 2026 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad vs USM Alger
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad vs USM Alger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CR Belouizdad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Hammouda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 31 / 100
CR Belouizdad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger CR Belouizdad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USM Alger scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: USM Alger remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CR Belouizdad let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS CR Belouizdad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
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CR Belouizdad

(Away)
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
24 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Alger30205541:1865
2Saoura30167740:2655
3CR Belouizdad301411547:2453
4Oran30147936:3149
5Kabylie301112740:3145
6Olympique Akbou30129934:3145
7Khenchela301281037:3744
8ES Ben Aknoun301110941:3943
9Constantine301110935:3043
10USM Alger30815734:2939
11ES Setif301091133:3639
12Rouisset30991230:3536
13ASO Chlef30971426:3134
14Paradou30732035:5424
15Mostaganem30471918:5219
16El Bayadh302111717:4017
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)