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USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Alger host CR Belouizdad in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. USM Alger have averaged 1.18 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against CR Belouizdad's 1.61 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor USM Alger slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward CR Belouizdad. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
USM Alger
35%
Draws
36%
CR Belouizdad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CR Belouizdad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CR Belouizdad lately — more wins on the board than USM Alger.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on USM Alger taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 19%
CR Belouizdad Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger CR Belouizdad
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 12 18
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
0:0
Jun 2, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
1:1
Apr 30, 2026 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad vs USM Alger
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 42 / 100
CR Belouizdad 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger CR Belouizdad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: USM Alger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: USM Alger scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

CR Belouizdad has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS CR Belouizdad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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CR Belouizdad

(Away)
07 Oct
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
Khenchela
17 Sept
Biskra
0 : 1
CR Belouizdad
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
05 Sept
ASO Chlef
3 : 3
CR Belouizdad
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Constantine 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Oran 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
5 ES Ben Aknoun 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 JS El Biar 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
7 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
9 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Khenchela 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Biskra 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Saoura 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)