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Stadium Background

USM Alger vs JS El Biar

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Draoui Z.
35'
Azzi I.
36'
Merzougui K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between USM Alger and JS El Biar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
USM Alger
30%
Draws
35%
JS El Biar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JS El Biar come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Alger a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%
JS El Biar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger JS El Biar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 12 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs JS El Biar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Draoui Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramdaoui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

JS El Biar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 50 / 100
JS El Biar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger JS El Biar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USM Alger's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

JS El Biar let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS JS El Biar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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JS El Biar

(Away)
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0
Saoura
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
03 Sept
JS El Biar
0 : 2
Olympique Akbou
09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1
Arba
01 May
Hussein Dey
2 : 3
JS El Biar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 CR Belouizdad 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Oran 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 ES Ben Aknoun 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Constantine 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
7 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
8 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 JS El Biar 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
10 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Khenchela 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Biskra 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Saoura 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)