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USM Alger vs MC Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Alger host MC Alger in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. USM Alger have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against MC Alger's 1.49 scored and 0.68 conceded. Past meetings favor MC Alger slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.94) back MC Alger to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
USM Alger
15%
Draws
41%
MC Alger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • USM Alger haven't matched MC Alger's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger MC Alger
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 14 22
Draws 14 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs MC Alger
0:0
Apr 1, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Super Cup
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs MC Alger
0:0
May 23, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 36 / 100
MC Alger 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger MC Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USM Alger scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

MC Alger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS MC Alger
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
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MC Alger

(Away)
04 Nov
MC Alger
2 : 0
Oran
31 Oct
MC Alger
2 : 0
Khenchela
27 Oct
Biskra
0 : 1
MC Alger
23 Oct
MC Alger
3 : 0
Rangers International
18 Oct
Rangers International
2 : 0
MC Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 7 5 2 0 12:7 17
2 Kabylie 7 5 1 1 11:3 16
3 MC Alger 6 5 1 0 9:1 16
4 Oran 8 4 3 1 5:2 15
5 USM Alger 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
6 Rouisset 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
7 Olympique Akbou 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
8 CR Temouchent 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 ES Setif 7 2 2 3 9:7 8
10 JS El Biar 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
11 ES Ben Aknoun 7 1 5 1 8:8 8
12 Constantine 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
13 Khenchela 7 1 2 4 3:8 5
14 ASO Chlef 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
15 Saoura 7 0 3 4 0:7 3
16 Biskra 8 0 3 5 4:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)